فصلنامه بین المللی ژئوپلیتیک

فصلنامه بین المللی ژئوپلیتیک

تأثیر پوپولیسم و رانتیریسم بر ژئواکونومی جمهوری بولیواری ونزوئلا

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 کارشناسی ارشد روابط بین‌الملل دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.
2 استادیار پیشین روابط بین‌الملل دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.
3 استادیار علوم سیاسی دانشگاه مازندران، مازندران، ایران.
چکیده
نفت، عامل مهمی در تحولات دولت‌های رانتیر مانند ونزوئلا بوده است. پیوندی میان ساختار و کارگزار در ونزوئلا هست که وضع موجود را حفظ نموده است. پرسش اصلی این مقاله، آن است که پوپولیسم و رانتیریسم چه تأثیری بر وضعیت ژئواکونومی جمهوری بولیواری ونزوئلا گذاشته است؟ فرضیه‌ی این مقاله نیز آن است که پوپولیسم و رانتیریسم موجب تضعیف ژئواکونومی ونزوئلا شده و این کشور نتوانسته حوزه‌ی نفوذ خود در کشورهای سوسیالیستی و ضدآمریکایی را به حوزه‌ی منافع تبدیل کند و در هدف ژئوپلیتیکی خود یعنی صدور چاویسمو به سایر کشورهای اطراف در آمریکای لاتین ناکام بوده است و به دلیل تحریم نفتی، بیماری هلندی، تورم افسارگسیخته و فساد سیستماتیک، قدرت اقتصادی جهت سرمایه‌گذاری در موقعیت‌های ویژه را ندارد. با استفاده از پارادایم واقع‌گرایی انتقادی، روش ردیابی فرآیند، و با مراجعه به منابع و اسناد مکتوب درباره‌ی پوپولیسم و رانتیریسم در ونزوئلا، تأثیر آنها بر ژئواکونومی این کشور تبیین شده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

The Impact of Populism and Rentierism on the Geoeconomy of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela

نویسندگان English

Seyyed Mohsen Hosseini 1
Arash Reisinezhad 2
Mohsen Abbaszadeh Marzbali 3
1 Msc, International Relations , Faculty of Law and Political Science , University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
2 Former Assistant Professor of International Relations, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Mazandaran, Mazandaran, Iran.
چکیده English

Extended Abstract     
Introduction
Oil, as one of the most critical energy resources, is deeply intertwined with geoeconomics and geopolitics. Since its discovery, the relationship between oil and democracy has been a subject of interest, particularly with the emergence of rentier states. Oil has played a pivotal role in shaping major developments in oil-rich nations, including Venezuela. Dependence on oil revenues significantly influences a country’s political system. This research focuses on Venezuela’s political systems and historical periods, particularly the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela in the 21st century, established shortly after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The study aims to analyze the interplay between populism and rentierism in Venezuela and their impact on the country’s geoeconomic landscape.
The necessity of this research lies in Venezuela’s influence on global oil geopolitics and political economy. As the country with the largest oil reserves and a founding member of OPEC, Venezuela’s democratic model, especially during Hugo Chávez’s era, has garnered support from socialists worldwide. Examining the relationship between oil, democracy, and geoeconomics in Venezuela offers valuable insights for other oil-rich nations. This article first explores Venezuela’s left populism and flawed democracy, followed by an analysis of its rentier state. Finally, it examines how populism and rentierism have shaped Venezuela’s geoeconomic conditions.
 
Methodology
The theoretical framework of this article is rooted in critical realism, which views the social world as interplay between structure and agency. In Chávez’s Venezuela, the interaction between these elements has led to a critical geoeconomic situation, hindering the achievement of geopolitical goals. While geoeconomics is often seen as the economic dimension of geopolitics, it is more accurately understood as the use of economic power and investment to achieve geopolitical objectives. Geoeconomics and geopolitics share commonalities in politics and geography, with their relationship being deeply interconnected. Thus, studying geoeconomics without considering geopolitics lacks meaning.
The research employs process tracing as its data analysis method, prioritizing written documents such as books and articles on populism, rentierism, Chavismo policies, and Venezuela’s geoeconomic conditions. The central question of this study is: How have populism and rentierism influenced the geoeconomic situation of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela? This research distinguishes itself by offering a comprehensive analysis of the impact of populism and rentierism on Venezuela’s geoeconomy, considering mechanisms of influence and significant international developments, such as the Ukraine War, to provide a deeper understanding of Venezuela’s geoeconomic and geopolitical challenges.
 
Results and Discussion
The rise of left populism in Venezuela has undermined democracy, creating a flawed democratic experience. Sanctions have weakened the private sector and civil society, while the government has become increasingly mafia-like, with rent-seeking permeating various sectors. Oil sanctions and declining revenues have devalued Venezuela’s national currency, drastically reducing the purchasing power of its citizens. As long as Venezuela’s economy remains oil-dependent, the prospects for democracy remain bleak. While citizens’ desire democracy, their protests are primarily economic, rooted in the financial crisis exacerbated by the undemocratic Bolivarian system and its rentier policies.
Populism and rentierism in Venezuela are mutually reinforcing. Oil price fluctuations and inefficient governance have led to recurring corruption and financial crises, preventing the institutionalization of democracy. In the Bolivarian Republic, oil sanctions and left populism have resulted in hyperinflation and a growing demand for democracy. However, the complex structure of oil-dependent states and foreign support for the Chávez and Maduro regimes has left the Venezuelan people in a state of stagnation.
 
Conclusions
The hypothesis of this article is that populism and rentierism have weakened Venezuela’s geoeconomy, preventing the country from transforming its sphere of influence in socialist and anti-American nations into a sphere of interests. Venezuela has failed to achieve its geopolitical goal of exporting Chavismo to neighboring Latin American countries. Due to oil sanctions, Dutch disease, hyperinflation, and systemic corruption, Venezuela lacks the economic power to invest in critical situations. Chávez’s leftist rhetoric, which framed the U.S. as a symbol of liberalism and capitalism, led to adversarial policies and oil sanctions under the Trump administration. Exporting Chávez’s leftism to Latin America requires Venezuela’s economic recovery and the defeat of right-wing forces in the region.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Venezuela
Populism
Rentierism
Geoeconomy
Geopolitics
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دوره 21، شماره 1
بهار 1404
صفحه 271-300

  • تاریخ دریافت 14 شهریور 1403
  • تاریخ بازنگری 07 آذر 1403
  • تاریخ پذیرش 08 آذر 1403