Geopolitics Quarterly

Geopolitics Quarterly

The Impact of Populism and Rentierism on the Geoeconomy of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Msc, International Relations , Faculty of Law and Political Science , University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
2 Former Assistant Professor of International Relations, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Mazandaran, Mazandaran, Iran.
Abstract
Extended Abstract     
Introduction
Oil, as one of the most critical energy resources, is deeply intertwined with geoeconomics and geopolitics. Since its discovery, the relationship between oil and democracy has been a subject of interest, particularly with the emergence of rentier states. Oil has played a pivotal role in shaping major developments in oil-rich nations, including Venezuela. Dependence on oil revenues significantly influences a country’s political system. This research focuses on Venezuela’s political systems and historical periods, particularly the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela in the 21st century, established shortly after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The study aims to analyze the interplay between populism and rentierism in Venezuela and their impact on the country’s geoeconomic landscape.
The necessity of this research lies in Venezuela’s influence on global oil geopolitics and political economy. As the country with the largest oil reserves and a founding member of OPEC, Venezuela’s democratic model, especially during Hugo Chávez’s era, has garnered support from socialists worldwide. Examining the relationship between oil, democracy, and geoeconomics in Venezuela offers valuable insights for other oil-rich nations. This article first explores Venezuela’s left populism and flawed democracy, followed by an analysis of its rentier state. Finally, it examines how populism and rentierism have shaped Venezuela’s geoeconomic conditions.
 
Methodology
The theoretical framework of this article is rooted in critical realism, which views the social world as interplay between structure and agency. In Chávez’s Venezuela, the interaction between these elements has led to a critical geoeconomic situation, hindering the achievement of geopolitical goals. While geoeconomics is often seen as the economic dimension of geopolitics, it is more accurately understood as the use of economic power and investment to achieve geopolitical objectives. Geoeconomics and geopolitics share commonalities in politics and geography, with their relationship being deeply interconnected. Thus, studying geoeconomics without considering geopolitics lacks meaning.
The research employs process tracing as its data analysis method, prioritizing written documents such as books and articles on populism, rentierism, Chavismo policies, and Venezuela’s geoeconomic conditions. The central question of this study is: How have populism and rentierism influenced the geoeconomic situation of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela? This research distinguishes itself by offering a comprehensive analysis of the impact of populism and rentierism on Venezuela’s geoeconomy, considering mechanisms of influence and significant international developments, such as the Ukraine War, to provide a deeper understanding of Venezuela’s geoeconomic and geopolitical challenges.
 
Results and Discussion
The rise of left populism in Venezuela has undermined democracy, creating a flawed democratic experience. Sanctions have weakened the private sector and civil society, while the government has become increasingly mafia-like, with rent-seeking permeating various sectors. Oil sanctions and declining revenues have devalued Venezuela’s national currency, drastically reducing the purchasing power of its citizens. As long as Venezuela’s economy remains oil-dependent, the prospects for democracy remain bleak. While citizens’ desire democracy, their protests are primarily economic, rooted in the financial crisis exacerbated by the undemocratic Bolivarian system and its rentier policies.
Populism and rentierism in Venezuela are mutually reinforcing. Oil price fluctuations and inefficient governance have led to recurring corruption and financial crises, preventing the institutionalization of democracy. In the Bolivarian Republic, oil sanctions and left populism have resulted in hyperinflation and a growing demand for democracy. However, the complex structure of oil-dependent states and foreign support for the Chávez and Maduro regimes has left the Venezuelan people in a state of stagnation.
 
Conclusions
The hypothesis of this article is that populism and rentierism have weakened Venezuela’s geoeconomy, preventing the country from transforming its sphere of influence in socialist and anti-American nations into a sphere of interests. Venezuela has failed to achieve its geopolitical goal of exporting Chavismo to neighboring Latin American countries. Due to oil sanctions, Dutch disease, hyperinflation, and systemic corruption, Venezuela lacks the economic power to invest in critical situations. Chávez’s leftist rhetoric, which framed the U.S. as a symbol of liberalism and capitalism, led to adversarial policies and oil sanctions under the Trump administration. Exporting Chávez’s leftism to Latin America requires Venezuela’s economic recovery and the defeat of right-wing forces in the region.
Keywords

Subjects


  1. Akhbari, M. (2024). Developing a geopolitical strategy; A requirement in the transition to a new stage of development, Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume 20, No. 1, pp. 193-204. [In Persian]
  2. Askari, M. (2010). Impact of oil revenues on the creation of a rentier state and democracy, Islamic Azad University Political Science Journal, Tehran East Branch, No. 13, pp. 181-197. [In Persian]
  3. Badie, B; Oprey, M.S; et al (2022). Le retour des populismes, translated by Abdulwahab Ahmadi, first edition, Agah Publications. [In Persian]
  4. Bashiriyeh, H. (2017). Lessons of democracy for all, 6th edition, Negahe Moaser Publications. [In Persian]
  5. Borbour, M; Jabal Ameli, M. (2016). Foreign Relations of the United States of America and Venezuela, first edition, Athare Fekr Publications. [In Persian]
  6. Bull, B; Rosales, A. (2020). Into the shadows: sanctions, rentierism, and economic informalization in Venezuela, https://erlacs.org/articles/10. 32992/ erlacs.10556.
  7. Cheatham, A; Roy, D; Labrador, R.C. (2021). Venezuela: The Rise and Fall of a Petrostate, https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/venezuela-crisis.
  8. Chryssogelos, A. (2021). Is there a populist foreign policy?
  9. Clavijo, W.A. (2022). Venezuela and the new geopolitical scenario, Translated from Spanish by Ricardo Aceves, https://latinoamerica21.com/en/venezuela-and-the-new-geopolitical-scenario/.
  10. Cohen, S.B. (2003). Geopolitical Realities and United States Foreign Policy, Political Geography, Vol. 22, No. 2, (doi: 10.1016/S0962-6298(02)00069-0).
  11. Farajirad, A; Abdi, M; Ghorbaninejad, R. (2019), Expounding Geopolitical Factors Affecting the Formation of Strategic Relations, Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume 16, No. 1, pp. 1-36. [In Persian]
  12. Fateminejad, S.A. (2024). Between Geography and International Relations: Explaining the Neighborhood, Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume 19, No. 4, pp. 290-313.
  13. Ghanbari, A. (2011). Oil Economies, first edition, Chalesh Publications. [In Persian]
  14. Gilpin, R.; Darrell, P; et al (2017). New frontiers in international political economy, translated by Alireza Tayeb, Chapakhsh publishing. [In Persian]
  15. Hagselios, P. (2023). Energy and Geopolitics, translated by Bahador Zarei and Jalil Delshadzad, first edition, Tehran University Publications. [In Persian]
  16. Karimipour, D. (2023). geoeconomic approach in foreign relations analysis; study of Russia's relations with Western European countries (Germany, France, Italy, Britain), Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume 19, No. 1, pp. 207-244.[In Persian]
  17. Karl, T.L. (2021). The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-States, translated by Jafar Kheirkhahan, 10th edition, Ney Publications. [In Persian]
  18. Khezri, M. (2009). Dutch disease and the Proper Use of Oil Incomes, Strategic Studies Quarterly, 12th year, No. 4, pp. 67-82. [In Persian]
  19. Laclau, E. (2021). Populism: On Populist Reason, translated by Morad Farhadpour & Javad Ganji, first edition, Markaz Publishing. [In Persian]
  20. Luciani, G. (1995). The Oil Rent: the Financial Crisis of the State and Democratization, Middle East Quarterly, No. 5, pp. 423-461. [In Persian]
  21. Mirtorabi, S. (2014). An introduction to political economy of oil and Iran's oil issues, second edition, Ghoomes Publications. [In Persian]
  22. Mirtorabi, S. (2016). Oil, Politics and Democracy, third edition, Ghoomes Publications. [In Persian]
  23. Mokhtari-Hashi, H. (2018). Explaining the concept of geoeconomics and recommendations for Iran, Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume 14, No. 50, pp. 56-82. [In Persian]
  24. Mottaghi, E; Narimani, G. (2022). Broker contrast-Structure Reaction: A Study of Development in Iran Based on Critical Realism Theory, Politics Quarterly, Volume 52, No. 1, pp. 175-202. [In Persian]
  25. Mouffe, Ch. (2019). For A Left Populism, translated by Hossein Rahmati, first edition, Akhtaran Publications. [In Persian]
  26. Movassaghi, S.A; Ghanimifard, D. (2012). Oil and Democracy: The Case of Oil Exporting Countries, Political Quarterly, Journal of the Faculty of Law and Political Science, Volume 42, No. 2, pp. 247-262. [In Persian]
  27. Mudde, C; Kaltwasser, C.R. (2019). Populism: A very short introduction, translated by Mohammad Zandi, first edition, Logos Publications. [In Persian]
  28. Mudde, C; Kaltwasser, C.R. (2019). Populism: A very short introduction, translated by Seyyed Ahmed Movasaghi & Hassan Amaei, first edition, Negahe Moaser Publications. [In Persian]
  29. Nimitz, Ch. (2020). Socialism: The Failed Idea that never Dies, translated by Mohammad Mashinchian and Hossein Mashinchian, second edition, Elm Publications. [In Persian]
  30. Odintsov, N. (2016). Geo-economic Conflict between Russia and the EU over the Gas Market Regime, british institute of energy economics, https://www. biee.org/resources/geo-economic-conflict-between-russia-and-the-eu-over-the-gas-market-regime/.
  31. Ramirez, R.D. (2021). The Venezuelan Oil Industry Collapse: Economic, Social and Political Implications, https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/ venezuelan-oil-industry-collapse-economic-social-and-political-implications.
  32. Reisinejad, A; Sadeghi, J. (2022). The Battle of Chaldiran: A Geopolitical Narrative, Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume 18, Number 3, pp. 165-198. [In Persian]
  33. Reisinezhad, A. (2020). The Dutch Disease Revisited: Theory and Evidence, https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03012647.
  34. Roberts, S.R. (2020). The Fall of Democracy and the Rise of Authoritarianism in Venezuela, https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5mj6j3t8.
  35. Salimi, H; Ebrahimi, M. (2014). "Theoretical, meta-theoretical foundations and criticism of the theory of neoclassical realism", International Relations Research Quarterly, first volume, No. 17, pp. 13-42. [In Persian]
  36. Shirkavand, S. (2020). Rentierism, second edition, Tehran University Publications. [In Persian]
  37. Shirkhani, M.A.; Barari, A; Poozesh Shirazi, H. (2010). Resource curse theory or the management of oil revenues; The Case Study: Account Reserves Foreign of Comparison a Iran and Norway, Politics Quarterly, Journal of Faculty of Law and Political Sciences, Volume 40, No. 2, pp. 115-134. [In Persian]
  38. Taggart, P. (2019). Populism, translated by Hassan Mortazavi, 4th edition, Ashian Publications. [In Persian]
  39. Taylor, P. (1994). Political Geography: World-Economy, Nation-State and Locality, London, Routledge Publications, (doi: 10.1177/030913259101500 233).
  40. Wigell, M; Scholvin, S; Aaltola, M (2020). Geo-economics and Power Politics in the 21st Century, London: Routledge.
Volume 21, Issue 1
Spring 2025
Pages 271-300

  • Receive Date 04 September 2024
  • Revise Date 27 November 2024
  • Accept Date 28 November 2024