This study investigates the impact of United States of America-led trade wars on the implementation of dual alignment by four key ASEAN Member States (AMS)—Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam—with BRICS, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF). Located at the strategic crossroads of the Indo-Pacific, ASEAN faces growing pressure to balance major power blocs while safeguarding national and regional interests. Using a neorealist theoretical framework and qualitative research methods, this study reveals that the dual alignment strategy represents a rational and pragmatic choice for the four AMS amid intensifying geopolitical rivalries. The imposition of new US tariffs has altered these dynamics by reducing the relative benefits of IPEF membership while heightening the pressure associated with BRICS engagement. Despite these challenges, the four AMS continue to uphold dual alignment, maintaining constructive ties with BRICS while simultaneously engaging in bilateral negotiations with the US to mitigate the tariff impacts and preserve policy autonomy.
Juned,M and Salam,S . (2026). Contesting the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific in the Era of BRICS Expansion and Trade Wars. (e247604). Geopolitics Quarterly, (), e247604 doi: 10.22034/igq.2026.550199.2097
MLA
Juned,M , and Salam,S . "Contesting the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific in the Era of BRICS Expansion and Trade Wars" .e247604 , Geopolitics Quarterly, , , 2026, e247604. doi: 10.22034/igq.2026.550199.2097
HARVARD
Juned M, Salam S. (2026). 'Contesting the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific in the Era of BRICS Expansion and Trade Wars', Geopolitics Quarterly, (), e247604. doi: 10.22034/igq.2026.550199.2097
CHICAGO
M Juned and S Salam, "Contesting the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific in the Era of BRICS Expansion and Trade Wars," Geopolitics Quarterly, (2026): e247604, doi: 10.22034/igq.2026.550199.2097
VANCOUVER
Juned M, Salam S. Contesting the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific in the Era of BRICS Expansion and Trade Wars. Geopolitics. 2026;():e247604 (In Persian). doi: 10.22034/igq.2026.550199.2097