Strategic Implications of Scenarios Facing Shanghai Organization on Iranian Energy Geopolitics

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Full Professor of Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

2 Ph.D Student of Economics, International Campus, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

Abstract


Shanghai cooperation organization, is a regional multilateral cooperation organization the permanent and observer members of which account for about 44% of world population, 20% of oil reservations and about 40% of world gas reservations. Also, permanent and observer countries of this organization have a significant share in oil and gas production. 24% world oil production as well as over 30% of world gas production is done in Shanghai region. Therefore, given the aggregation of the largest energy producers (Iran and Russia) alongside the largest energy consumers (China and India) in this organization and its huge energy potential, one of the cooperation fields is energy. As such, in order to provide some recommendations for Iran about the manner of membership in the organization using scenario planning method, this research investigates the impact of scenarios facing Iran and Shanghai organization on energy geopolitics and concludes that if Iran become a full member of Shanghai organization, it can take advantages from its positive consequences on energy security (acquisition of demand security, eliminate the threat of sanctions, foreign investment and access to technology).
 

Keywords

Geopolitics Quarterly
Volume 11, Issue 40
December 2016
Pages 177-201

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History

  • Receive Date: 01 September 2015
  • Revise Date: 20 November 2015
  • Accept Date: 08 December 2015

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